This site collects anonymous statistical data on navigation through cookies installed by authorized third parties, respecting privacy of your personal data and in accordance with standards established by law. By continuing to browse this site, clicking on links in it or simply shaking the page down, you agree to the service and the same cookie.

A+ A A-
07-10-2015

Ukraine: relatively calm situation in September

Rate this item
(4 votes)
Source: Newsweek.com Source: Newsweek.com

Since September 1, the situation in eastern Ukraine has been relatively calm. As already clarified in previous analyses, it would have been impossible to witness a full and complete ceasefire. Interestingly enough, according to SMM reports, there were days in which no violations were reported by the SMM (OSCE’s Special Monitoring Mission to Ukraine).

It also seems that the withdrawal of heavy weapons is getting back on track. The parties met in late September and gave themselves 39 day to withdraw tanks, artillery, and mortars up to 120mm in calibre and to pulled them back by 15 kilometres from the contact line. On October 3, Luhansk People Republic stated that their operations started: "Right now the tanks have begun movement to a new location, which is at least 15 kilometres away from the engagement line" (source: RT). Similarly, a Ukrainian army’s spokesman stated on Facebook: "Today, in Luhansk region we began a simultaneous removal of T-64 and T-72 tanks and in some places anti-tank artillery D-48 and D-44 and ... mortars" (source: The Telegraph).

Despite all these positive signs, the pacification process if far from being over. Should the withdrawal of heavy weapons end smoothly, it would be possible to jump in a new phase of the entire process in which the elections in the separatist Republics, which will be held in 2016 instead of this October, represents a very delicate issue.

 

Alessandro Mazzilli

Degree in International Relations at the Faculty of Political Science of the University of Turin.

Expert in Foreign Policy of Defence and Security and the relationships Euro - Atlantic.

Geopolitical analyst.

Consultant Services Stuarding and security checks.

Geoeconomia

Eversione e Terrorismo

Geopolitica

Risorse Energetiche

Cyber Warfare

Copyright CEOS 2012 - 2015. All rights reserved.