Since the leadership change in Kiev, in this region (as well as in other pro-Russia areas of Ukraine), people have turned toward Russia, seeing in Moscow the true Ukrainian political partner and considering the current government as illegitimate.

In the last few days, pro-Russia paramilitary groups, wearing unidentifiable uniforms, took control over the most strategic facilities in Crimea (such as airports and military basis). Moreover, according to the press, actual Russian military units have been reaching Crimea on-board of military aircraft and vessels. Last but not least, great preoccupation is due to the fact that the Russian parliament gave Putin a green light in case he opted for a real military intervention.

Although not even a drop of blood has been poured, the political tension between Moscow and Kiev (becked up by the western countries) is reaching its highest level. Ukrainian prime minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk spoke about “war declaration” and assured that Ukraine is ready to descend to war if Moscow decided to intervene. Nevertheless, while Kiev is calling up its reservists, Ukraine appeals to the West, hoping in a concrete help, if needed.

The next hours will be crucial. Although an invasion of a sovereign country would be a political suicide for Moscow, the possibility of a military escalation can't be completely ruled out. How far is the Kremlin willing to go?

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