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13-03-2015

Elections in Israel - our point of view

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Benjamin Netanyahu tries to win her fourth term in an atmosphere poisoned by controversy and internal feuds to Likud. BB has destroyed his personal relations with Obama but the American administration will continue to fund and support Israel despite the distance of views on relations with Iran.

The current political scenario sees the entry of a new party composed of ultra-Orthodox women only "B Zohutan" with a program contradictory and uncertain that conflicts against Orthodox traditions. The new team although not numerically considerable emotional give a jolt to the last days of the election campaign itself as possible to tip the balance, the women on the other hand will be key factor in the new parliament.

Israeli Arabs marginalized for decades by the political debate are compacted into a coalition strong enough to make a concrete fear to the right. The Arabs of Israel are about 1.5 million, representing 20% ​​of the population are Muslims being the third generation of Palestinians in Israel built after 1948.

"Bibi" currently has had a fall of consensus, but although for many is the embodiment of evil, has undertaken less unjust wars of his predecessors, he built settlements less Barak the Labour and is less corrupt Sharon; his opponents as well as Israeli Arabs are Tzipi Livni, Yair Lapid and Moshe Kalhon but if they won they would change things a lot less than the three candidates are promising to the population. To date the polls BB two points under the Labour coalition composed of those three candidates. Triage believes that in these last days of the election campaign the outgoing premier will recover lost ground. Sure governance will not be assured, there will need to cross alliances and new compromises. The voters want a new welfare, more security, respect for tradition, a strengthening of the law on the return of the Jews to Israel and a sharp contrast to international terrorism that targets Israel. All this is in the ropes of BB in these hours is trying to shrink a larger federation of voters: all right, the Orthodox, the ultra-Orthodox, the settlers, the Jews and those just come back.

According to the description until now, for us to win again BB - by a small margin, but there will still be him - do not forget that in the struggle to Daesh has personally committed, sewed up relations with the Jordanian government pushing to ensure support active military. Yes, there will still be him, but will not be the same BB - what we have seen so far - will be very different.

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Sergio Giangregorio

Degree in Political Sciences and International Relations. Specialized in "Speculative models and educational researches in multimedia interaction of I°and II° level", adjunct university professor in investigative subjects with specific expertise on security in urban areas, on intelligence methods and peacekeeping. Communications expert in extreme situations.

Investigative journalist and intelligence analyst, he developed many strategic studies of all theather of war as the balcanic conflict, the Afghanistan's war and conflicts in Iraq and North Africa.

President of the European Center of Orientation and Studies (CEOS).

Director of the monthly magazine on line "Convincere".

 

Website: www.sergiogiangregorio.it

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