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07-07-2013

Evolution Vs Revolution

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Turkey, Qatar and Egypt have all recently experienced political transition and disorder. Strangely, it is the same three countries that have taken a hawkish position on Syria.  

After the recent political succession in Qatar an exit strategy is looming. This change first appeared when Al Jazeera, the most effective tool of change in the Arab world and used extensively by the Qatari administration, was deprived from having priority or exclusivity in coverage of the succession in Qatar.

Directly after, there were clashes in Lebanon involving supporters of Salafi Sheikh Ahmad al-Assir in the southern Lebanese town of Saida. Al Aseer who represents a real threat to internal stability in Lebanon was known to be backed by the old Qatari administration, however, one day after the succession in Qatar he was left to face his destiny without any backing. 

The greatest political transition was in Egypt. The Egyptian army has overthrown President Mohamed Morsi, and announced a roadmap for the country's political future. There are still questions around what pushed the Army to take this step, as some observers have commented that there are regional and internal factors.  

Regionally, the political troubles in Turkey and Qatar’s withdrawal put an end to Muslim Brotherhood dreams of becoming a regional power. Additionally, Mursi’s dealing with certain situations in Africa and the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam have not reflected well on Egypt and its army.  

On an Arab level, Mursi created issues when he put the Brotherhood’s interests ahead of Egypt’s when he committed Egyptian forces in calling for jihad in Syria.  

Aside from many other failures in domestic politics, all these regional missteps made the fall of Mursi and the Brotherhood entirely predictable. In fact the Muslim Brotherhood’s crisis in Egypt will likely play out in other countries, especially where the movement refuses to be part of the local political process, as it believes that the regional situation will serve their local agendas.  

As a result there are various implications and consequences for the movement itself, especially amongst the youth who bitterly regret the failure of their political experience.  

There are revolutions and evolutions occurring across the region. The ongoing crisis in Syria is affecting countries involved, and yet there are other challenges facing the gulf countries, and a real crisis in accepting and implementing the requirements of change. 

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Amer Al Sabaileh

International Public Relation, Goverment Sector, Business and Human Develpoment, Strategic Analysis.

Member of the teaching staff department of the European languages and Studies University of Jordan – Amman.

Doctorate, Italian Studies University of Pisa “ Arabic and Islamic influence on the other’ s life concepts in the Mediterranean area in the medieval age.

Peace Building and Reconciliation University of Coventry, UK

Master’s degree, Education to peace , International Co – operation, Human Rights and the Politics of the European Union.

Bachelor’s degree-higher diploma, Italian and English literature-Douple Major.

Website: amersabaileh.blogspot.com

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