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04-04-2014

“DOSSIER UCRAINA

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Russia's role in international affairs has declined, at least temporarily, Moscow was de facto excluded from the Group of 8 industrialized powers .

The attempt by President Vladimir Putin of using the BRICS emerging powers in order to mitigate the isolation imposed by the West failed because of disputes with China and India about Tibet and Kashmir.

NATO is back in full swing at the very moment in which he seemed to have lost its luster due to the abandonment of the mission in Afghanistan.

We are facing a significant increase in Allied air patrols under the flag of Poland and the Baltic States and Warsaw is pushing for a quick introduction to the U.S. missile defense systems in Central Europe.

Under pressure from the United States, some European countries may rethink its cuts to defense spending .

Sweden and Finland again the Russians perceive as a potential threat and cooperate more closely with NATO.

The story of Ukraine has cemented the role of leadership in Berlin in Europe.

Chancellor Angela Merkel has become the main contact of Europe with Putin.

President Putin is close to the peak of its popularity riding on a wave of nationalistic pride , but the instability can grow when it is under pressure from large industrial Russians who are very angry at losing foreign investment in Russia.

Most remain faithful but things could change radically in the next six months.

The United States is deeply concerned about the 40,000 soldiers massed on the border of Ukraine, fueling concern that Russia is preparing a raid in Ukraine wider creating a climate of fear and intimidation .

Since the end of the Cold War NATO has shifted its activities prior to Kosovo , Afghanistan , Somalia , as well as in Libya, Rasmussen warns that European security can no longer be taken for granted , and calls on European states to strengthen politically and militarily. After the Ukrainian question .

The Ukrainian crisis and what happened in the Crimea should sound like a warning bell that must be followed by an increase in European investment in defense if you want to ensure credible deterrence and collective defense .

In addition to intensify assistance to Ukraine NATO will necessarily do in the coming days more than what he has done to date.

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Mario Neri

Law degree, postgratuated master degree in Criminology. 

International law expert and programs relating to the peacekeeping in crisis areas.

Reserve Officer of the Italian Army "Folgore". Intelligence analyst.

 

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