The scenery that can be seen , then, is that of an international community strongly divided , with the same Atlantic Alliance still, waiting to acquire a greater consensus on the military , Obama lives difficult moments , in fact, before he tried to avoid any U.S. involvement in the conflict, then threatened with an imminent missile attack unilateral decision finally grew concerned about the weight of the more radical Islamic groups in opposition to the regime has decided to take some time and to give space for diplomacy.
The Israeli intelligence services have activated channels reserved with certain groups of Syrian dissidents moderate to steer them towards political negotiations , Jerusalem wants Assad , though weakened , it does not fall to avoid the uncertainty of a future government in rebel hands too close to Islamic extremists strongly infiltrated by Al- Qaeda. At the same time the Israelis have good relations with the regime that until now, despite the formal state of war , did not have any attitude actually hostile to Israel.
Obama has always aimed at a negotiated departure of Assad , convinced that the previous Libyans and Egyptians did lever of Damascus , this solution would weaken Hezbollah and Iran , and in turn strengthened the new Israeli-Palestinian peace process , containing at the same time Syria and the whole area of the radical Islamic forces.
All this has not yet happened and according to the human intelligence Triage does not happen, there are numerous confidentiality agreements between the services of the countries involved in the conflict to transfer the scenario references in the balance between ethical and political needs , to a secret deal that will transform the ' hypothetical missile attack Western downward into an agreement for all , leaving essentially the framework unchanged.
The Syrian army at this time is trying to replace all military equipment possible targets defined by the U.S., dispersing the mobile launchers on the territory controlled in order to make identification difficult.
Assad is willing to endure a punitive attack on American ligth long as it is " light" and does not favor the rebels altering the current balance of power , if you attack us will not be deep, an intervention must be limited and shall not provide support to the rebels , only in this case, the scheme will be willing to not react and do not make any retaliation against Israel.
The agreement has done.
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